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Risk condition

UPDATED 2026-08-02

A risk condition is a rule that watches a market series and, when it triggers, switches the strategy from its Risk-On allocation to its Risk-Off allocation — the more defensive profile you defined yourself. When the condition clears, the strategy switches back to Risk-On. A strategy can carry up to two risk conditions, and you build each one in the Risk card, described in the app as "Automatically de-risk when markets turn".

Also seen as: trigger — the risk list reads "Go Risk-Off when any trigger fires:".

What does a risk condition do when it triggers?

A triggered risk condition switches the strategy to its Risk-Off allocation profile — and nothing else. It does not pause, halt, or stop the strategy: the strategy keeps running, keeps rebalancing, and keeps holding positions, just under the other allocation profile. It does not liquidate to cash either, unless the Risk-Off profile you configured is itself cash. The app states the mechanic directly in the risk step: "Define risk conditions that switch the strategy to its Risk-Off allocation when triggered." What actually changes when a condition fires is described in Risk-On and Risk-Off.

What is a risk condition made of?

Every risk condition is one watched series, one comparison, and two behaviour settings.

PartControlWhat it sets
Watched seriesInstrumentthe ticker the rule watches
TransformationIndicator"Raw price", "Simple moving average", "Percent change", or "Average momentum"
WindowPeriodhow many periods the indicator covers — for the indicators that read over a window
Comparisonthe Template you started from, plus Operator and ThresholdsWhether the series is compared to numbers you type or to a second series
PatienceConfirmation delay (weeks)How long a flip must stand before the strategy acts on it
TimingAuto-rebalanceWhether a flip forces an off-schedule rebalance

The two comparison shapes are covered in Condition types; the two behaviour settings in Confirmation delay and Auto-rebalance on flip. Both behaviour settings exist to damp whipsaw — the flip-and-flip-back a sensitive rule produces.

How does the trigger test read?

A risk condition asks for Risk-Off when its indicator satisfies the comparison you set.

Risk-Off is requested whenst    θ\text{Risk-Off is requested when}\quad s_t \;\square\; \theta

where: sts_t is the value of the chosen indicator on the watched series at time tt; \square is the Operator you pick — "is greater than" or "is less than"; and θ\theta is the number you type on the Risk-Off row. A Double series condition replaces θ\theta with a second series' value, st(2)s^{(2)}_t. A Single series condition runs this same comparison twice — one threshold asks for Risk-Off, a second asks for Risk-On again — and Condition types covers that pair and why it exists.

Defaults in Fincanva

  • With no condition configured a strategy stays in Risk-On permanently — the empty state reads "Without a condition, the strategy stays in Risk-On at all times."
  • A strategy can carry at most two risk conditions, and they combine with OR: the list summarises this as "Any match → Risk-Off", so either one triggering is enough — see two-condition combination.
  • Each condition carries its own Confirmation delay (weeks) and its own Auto-rebalance toggle — they are set per condition, not per strategy.
  • Configuring the Risk-Off allocation identically to Risk-On is a no-op: there is nothing to switch to, so triggering changes nothing.
  • The app does not notify you when a condition triggers — you see the current state by opening the strategy.
  • Fincanva does not tell you when to go defensive, which series to watch, or what threshold to set. See Is this financial advice?.

Worked example

You want a strategy to turn defensive while a broad equity index is trading below its long-term trend. In the condition builder you pick Condition type "Double series", set Series 1 to SPY with the Indicator left at "Raw price", and set the Comparison series to SPY with the Indicator "Simple moving average" and a Period of 200 — SPY against its own 200-day simple moving average. The Operator reads "is less than". Finally you set Confirmation delay (weeks) to 2, so a two-day dip below the average is not enough.

The result: while SPY sits below its 200-day average for at least two weeks, the strategy runs its Risk-Off allocation; when SPY is back above the average, it runs Risk-On again. At no point does the strategy stop, and the only holdings that change are the ones the two allocation profiles differ on. A Single series condition would instead compare the indicator against two numbers you type — Condition types explains why there are two of them.

Learn more: Risk conditions

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Fincanva provides no financial advice. Backtests show what would have happened — not what will.

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